Egor Gerasimov vs Evgeny Karlovskiy Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When examining recent second serve performance, Gerasimov currently has an edge with a 46.34% win rate compared to Karlovskiy's 45.63%. Could this slight advantage influence the outcome?
• Gerasimov excels in breaking down opponents’ second serves, winning 47.43% of these points, while Karlovskiy lags behind securing 44.37%.
• Conversely, Karlovskiy surpasses Gerasimov on first serve returns, winning 26.99% compared to Gerasimov's 24.73%. Does this suggest a potential area for Karlovskiy to exploit?
• Under pressure, Gerasimov demonstrates solid problem-solving skills, saving 65.79% of breakpoints, a significant advantage over Karlovskiy's 56.82% save rate.
• Within the last year, Karlovskiy has achieved superior match win statistics, with a 57.58% win rate, outpacing Gerasimov’s 40.54% success rate.
• Both players share their highest career win percentage on hard surfaces, each recording 61%. Will this mutual proficiency influence the match on an indoor hard court?
• Gerasimov exhibits more experience at a higher competitive level, competing predominantly at the Challengers/ITF tournaments, whereas Karlovskiy has flourished more in the Futures/Satellites circuits.
• In their lone head-to-head encounter, Gerasimov emerged victorious, winning 2 out of 3 sets. Could this history indicate future success for Gerasimov?
• Their past match durations suggest well-contested encounters, with an average playtime exceeding 1 hour and 50 minutes.
• Gerasimov’s ability to convert breakpoints recently (35.48%) is considerably better than Karlovskiy’s (28.1%), suggesting Gerasimov might capitalize on critical opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (May 28, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent performance metrics and historical exchanges between Gerasimov and Karlovskiy, Gerasimov appears to have the edge in several critical aspects.

Gerasimov's proficiency in overcoming opponents’ second serves and effectively managing breakpoint situations suggests resilience under pressure. Although Karlovskiy records a higher overall win percentage over the past year, his matches have occurred primarily at lower event levels, potentially impacting the quality of his victories.

While Karlovskiy could leverage his superior first serve return stats, Gerasimov’s recent victory in their last head-to-head match and his superior breakpoint conversion rate implies a psychological and tactical advantage.

Considering these factors, Gerasimov is most likely to win the upcoming match, barring any unexpected shifts in form or unforeseen challenges during the contest.